2025 PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Quail Hollow

Xander Schauffele agrees with the thought. He’s read all about its name, too.  

“I guess writers,” he said, “call it horses for courses.”

Indeed. We’re a rhyming bunch, for sure. But the idea is a basic one — players play well at certain courses — and it’ll be one to consider as you try to find a winner at this week’s PGA Championship. While, at best, tracks hold majors once every so many years, there are a handful, like Quail Hollow this week, that also host PGA Tour events annually, giving players (and gamblers) some experience in which to work. 

So who answers the mail at Quail? As you look to make your selections, here are the top 10s at the track over the past 10 years, which includes the top 10 at the 2017 PGA:

(Note: The 2020 event was not played, and Quail Hollow hosted the 2022 Presidents Cup.)

2015 Wells Fargo Championship
Rory McIlroy, 17-under
Xander Schauffele, 12-under
Byeong Hun An, 9-under
Sungjae Im, 6-under
Jason Day
Mackenzie Hughes, 5-under
Denny McCarthy
Max Homa, 4-under
Sepp Straka
Taylor Pendrith, 3-under
Russell Henley
Grayson Murray 

2016 Wells Fargo Championship
James Hahn, 9-under
Roberto Castro   
Justin Rose, 8-under
Rickie Fowler, 7-under
Andrew Loupe
Rory McIlroy
Phil Mickelson
Lucas Glover, 6-under
Fabian Gomez, 5-under
Danny Lee 

2017 PGA Championship
Justin Thomas, 8-under
Francesco Molinari, 6-under 
Louis Oosthuizen
Patrick Reed
Rickie Fowler, 5-under
Hideki Matsuyama
Graham DeLaet, 4-under
Kevin Kisner
Jason Day, 1-under
Matt Kuchar
Jordan L Smith
Chris Stroud 

2018 Wells Fargo Championship
Jason Day, 12-under
Nick Watney, 10-under
Aaron Wise
Bryson DeChambeau, 8-under
Paul Casey, 7-under
Phil Mickelson
Peter Uihlein
Patrick Reed, 6-under
Emiliano Grillo, 5-under
Luke List
Sam Saunders
Charl Schwartzel 

2019 Wells Fargo Championship
Max Homa, 15-under
Joel Dahmen, 12-under
Justin Rose, 11-under
Paul Casey, 9-under
Jason Dufner
Rickie Fowler
Sergio Garcia
Rory McIlroy, 7-under
Keith Mitchell
Pat Perez
Kyle Stanley
Jhonattan Vegas 

2021 Wells Fargo Championship
Rory McIlroy, 10-under
Abraham Ancer, 9-under
Viktor Hovland, 8-under
Keith Mitchell 
Gary Woodland, 7-under 
Luke List, 5-under
Patrick Reed
Matt Wallace
Bryson DeChambeau, 4-under
Aaron Wise 

2023 Wells Fargo Championship
Wyndham Clark, 19-under
Xander Schauffele, 15-under
Harris English, 12-under
Tyrrell Hatton
Tommy Fleetwood, 11-under
Adam Scott
Michael Kim, 10-under
Denny McCarthy, 8-under
K.H. Lee
Max Homa
Corey Conners
Sungjae Im
Brendon Todd 

2024 Wells Fargo Championship 
Rory McIlroy, 17-under
Xander Schauffele, 12-under
Byeong Hun An, 9-under
Sungjae Im, 6-under
Jason Day
Mackenzie Hughes, 5-under
Denny McCarthy
Max Homa, 4-under
Sepp Straka
Taylor Pendrith, 3-under
Russell Henley
Grayson Murray 

With that, members of our staff have each made both a to-win and a sleeper selection to assist you with your own weekly picks, whether those are for a low-stakes office fantasy league, or (legal!) big-bucks bets with a sportsbook. It’s an enjoyable endeavor for us. Deploy it as you wish. 

On to our analysis. 

2025 PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch